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Will Dissly

Will Dissly Receptions
Player Prop Week 1

Los Angeles Chargers vs Las Vegas Raiders

Will Dissly Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-215/+160).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -180 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ +160.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Los Angeles Chargers have run the 4th-most plays in the NFL last year, totaling a colossal 60.6 plays per game.

The pass attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the still weather conditions (1-mph wind) being predicted in this game, while ground volume may drop.

With an outstanding 89.4% Adjusted Catch Rate (86th percentile) last year, Will Dissly has been as one of the best possession receivers in the NFL when it comes to tight ends.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Chargers are a 3-point favorite this week, likely creating a rushing game script.

Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Chargers to pass on 55.6% of their downs: the 10th-lowest clip on the slate this week.

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this contest is forecasted by our trusted projection set to have just 125.1 plays on offense run: the 2nd-lowest number out of all the games this week.

When it comes to defensive ends getting after the quarterback, Las Vegas's group of DEs has been fantastic last year, ranking as the 4th-best in the NFL.

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