Will Dissly Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 4

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Will Dissly

NFL · Player Props

Will Dissly

TE · Seattle Seahawks

Receptions

New York Giants vs Seattle Seahawks · Week 4, 2023

Updated Oct 3, 2023 2:51 AM UTC

Analysis

Will Dissly Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-115/-120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Our trusted projections expect the Seattle Seahawks to be the 8th-most pass-oriented team in the NFL (context-neutralized) at the moment with a 63.3% pass rate.
Calm weather conditions (like the 2-mph wind being called for in this game) typically mean better passing efficiency, higher TD potential, higher air volume, and reduced ground volume.
Will Dissly has played on 57.7% of his offense's snaps since the start of last season, placing him in the 76th percentile among TEs.
Will Dissly's sure-handedness have gotten better this season, with his Completion% jumping from 89.3% to 100.0%.
The Giants safeties grade out as the 3rd-worst safety corps in the NFL since the start of last season in covering pass-catchers.

Favors Under

The leading projections forecast the Seahawks to run the fewest offensive plays among all teams this week with 63.5 plays, accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics.
Opposing offenses have averaged 32.2 pass attempts per game against the New York Giants defense since the start of last season: 8th-fewest in the NFL.
The New York Giants pass defense has conceded the 6th-lowest Completion% in the NFL (64.9%) vs. tight ends this year (64.9%).

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