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Will Dissly

Will Dissly Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 9

Cleveland Browns vs Los Angeles Chargers

 
 
 
Will Dissly Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 24.5 (-130/-100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 24.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 24.5 @ -130.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The model projects this game to have the 2nd-largest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 135.4 plays, based on the play styles of each team and game dynamics.
  • The model projects Will Dissly to total 4.0 targets this week, on average, putting him in the 77th percentile when it comes to tight ends.
  • Will Dissly has totaled significantly more air yards this year (17.0 per game) than he did last year (2.0 per game).
  • Will Dissly's 34.0 adjusted receiving yards per game this season signifies a noteable gain in his receiving prowess over last season's 14.0 mark.
  • Will Dissly ranks as one of the best TEs in football at picking up extra yardage, averaging an outstanding 6.46 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year while checking in at the 86th percentile.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The 9th-smallest volume of plays in the NFL have been run by the Los Angeles Chargers this year (a mere 56.1 per game on average).
  • Opposing quarterbacks teams have been reluctant to lean on the pass against the Cleveland Browns, totaling the 6th-fewest attempts in football (just 30.4 per game) this year.
  • The model projects Will Dissly to be much less involved in his offense's passing offense in this game (12.0% projected Target Share) than he has been this year (17.5% in games he has played).
  • The Los Angeles Chargers offensive line profiles as the 7th-worst in football this year in protecting the QB, which has a negative impact on all pass game stats across the board.
  • Will Dissly's 80.5% Adjusted Completion% this year illustrates a significant diminishment in his receiving talent over last year's 89.4% rate.

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