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Will Dissly

Will Dissly Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 2

Carolina Panthers vs Los Angeles Chargers

 
 
 
Will Dissly Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 7.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 8.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The 9th-highest number of plays in the league have been called by the Chargers since the start of last season (a monstrous 59.9 per game on average).
  • Will Dissly comes in as one of the most reliable receivers in football among TEs, catching an excellent 90.0% of balls thrown his way (adjusted for context) since the start of last season, ranking in the 88th percentile.
  • Will Dissly profiles as one of the most efficient receivers in football among tight ends, averaging a fantastic 9.17 adjusted yards-per-target since the start of last season while ranking in the 84th percentile.
  • Will Dissly ranks as one of the top tight ends in the NFL at generating extra yardage, averaging a terrific 7.39 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) since the start of last season while ranking in the 93rd percentile.
  • The Panthers pass defense has given up the 3rd-highest Adjusted Completion% in football (78.7%) to TEs since the start of last season (78.7%).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • This game's spread suggests a running game script for the Chargers, who are favored by 5 points.
  • The predictive model expects the Chargers as the 5th-least pass-focused offense among all teams this week with a 52.0% pass rate, accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
  • The projections expect this game to see the 2nd-lowest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 126.1 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The weather forecast calls for 13-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means reduced pass volume (and higher run volume) and lessened passing efficiency.
  • Opposing quarterbacks teams have been unwilling to rely on the passing game too much against the Panthers, averaging the fewest attempts in the NFL (a lowly 27.8 per game) since the start of last season.

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