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Will Dissly

Will Dissly Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 17

New England Patriots vs Los Angeles Chargers

Will Dissly Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 29.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 31.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 29.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The pass attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the calm weather conditions (4-mph wind) being predicted in this game, while run volume may drop-off.

The leading projections forecast Will Dissly to earn 4.5 targets in this contest, on balance, placing him in the 83rd percentile among TEs.

Will Dissly has been a more integral piece of his team's air attack this season (15.4% Target Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last season (3.5%).

Will Dissly has posted significantly more air yards this season (21.0 per game) than he did last season (2.0 per game).

Will Dissly has accumulated significantly more adjusted receiving yards per game (32.0) this season than he did last season (14.0).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

A running game script is indicated by the Chargers being a 6-point favorite in this week's contest.

Given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Chargers to pass on 53.7% of their chances: the 7th-lowest frequency among all teams this week.

Based on the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is projected by the projection model to have just 127.0 total plays called: the fewest among all games this week.

The fewest plays in football have been run by the Chargers this year (a lowly 53.6 per game on average).

Opposing quarterbacks teams have been reluctant to lean on the pass against the Patriots, averaging the 8th-fewest attempts in football (a lowly 32.7 per game) this year.

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