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Will Dissly

Will Dissly Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 14

Kansas City Chiefs vs Los Angeles Chargers

 
 
 
Will Dissly Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 44.5 (-133/-103).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 36.5 @ -113 before it was bet up to 44.5 @ -133.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Chargers are a 4-point underdog this week, which points towards a passing game script.
  • The projections expect Will Dissly to garner 6.5 targets in this week's contest, on balance, placing him in the 89th percentile when it comes to TEs.
  • Will Dissly has been much more involved in his team's passing attack this year (16.1% Target Share in games he has played) than he was last year (3.5%).
  • Will Dissly has notched many more air yards this year (22.0 per game) than he did last year (2.0 per game).
  • Will Dissly's 33.0 adjusted yards per game on passes this season signifies a noteable boost in his pass-catching skills over last season's 14.0 rate.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The leading projections forecast the Chargers to run the 6th-fewest offensive plays among all teams this week with 63.3 plays, based on their underlying traits and game dynamics.
  • The Chargers have called the 4th-fewest plays in the NFL this year, totaling a lowly 54.3 plays per game.
  • Will Dissly's sure-handedness have diminished this season, with his Adjusted Catch Rate falling off from 89.4% to 79.3%.
  • Will Dissly's pass-catching effectiveness has diminished this year, notching just 7.71 adjusted yards-per-target vs a 9.05 mark last year.
  • Will Dissly's talent in generating extra yardage have worsened this year, notching a measly 5.71 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) vs a 7.06 figure last year.

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