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Will Dissly

Will Dissly Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 13

Atlanta Falcons vs Los Angeles Chargers

Will Dissly Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 42.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 40.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 42.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing efficiency.

The Falcons defense has been something of pass funnel this year, tempting opposing offenses to attempt the 7th-most passes in football (36.7 per game) this year.

In this week's game, Will Dissly is anticipated by the projections to slot into the 90th percentile among tight ends with 6.6 targets.

Will Dissly has been a more integral piece of his team's passing game this year (17.1% Target Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last year (3.5%).

After averaging 2.0 air yards per game last season, Will Dissly has seen marked improvement this season, currently pacing 23.0 per game.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

At the present time, the 8th-slowest paced offense in football (adjusted for context) according to the model is the Los Angeles Chargers.

Will Dissly's ball-catching skills have diminished this season, with his Adjusted Completion% decreasing from 89.4% to 81.1%.

Will Dissly's receiving effectiveness has diminished this year, compiling a measly 7.91 adjusted yards-per-target compared to a 9.05 mark last year.

Will Dissly's 5.71 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this season illustrates a remarkable reduction in his efficiency in picking up extra yardage over last season's 7.1% figure.

The Falcons pass defense has conceded the 6th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in football (72.3%) vs. tight ends this year (72.3%).

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