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Will Dissly

Will Dissly Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 10

Los Angeles Chargers vs Tennessee Titans

 
 
 
Will Dissly Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 23.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 21.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 23.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Calm weather conditions (like the 0-mph wind being called for in this game) typically correlate with increased passing effectiveness, increased touchdown potential, increased air attack volume, and lower run volume.
  • In this week's contest, Will Dissly is predicted by our trusted projection set to find himself in the 77th percentile among tight ends with 4.4 targets.
  • Will Dissly has been much more involved in his team's pass attack this year (16.7% Target Share in games he has played) than he was last year (3.5%).
  • Will Dissly has accumulated quite a few more air yards this season (16.0 per game) than he did last season (2.0 per game).
  • Will Dissly's 30.0 adjusted receiving yards per game this year marks a material boost in his pass-catching skills over last year's 14.0 figure.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Chargers are an enormous 8-point favorite in this week's game, which points towards an extreme rushing game script.
  • Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Los Angeles Chargers to pass on 54.1% of their opportunities: the 7th-lowest frequency among all teams this week.
  • The leading projections forecast this game to see the 2nd-smallest number of plays run on the slate this week at 124.5 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The 9th-fewest plays in the NFL have been run by the Chargers this year (only 55.4 per game on average).
  • Opposing offenses teams have been reluctant to pass too much against the Titans, totaling the 4th-fewest attempts in the NFL (a mere 29.6 per game) this year.

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