Will Dissly Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 7

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Will Dissly

NFL · Player Props

Will Dissly

TE · Seattle Seahawks

Receiving Yards

Seattle Seahawks vs Arizona Cardinals · Week 7, 2023

Updated Oct 22, 2023 11:16 PM UTC

Analysis

Will Dissly Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-110/-110).

Key Factors

Favors Over

At the moment, the 9th-most pass-focused team in the NFL (62.9% in a neutral context) according to the model is the Seahawks.
Still weather conditions (like the 4-mph wind being called for in this game) typically mean increased passing effectiveness, increased touchdown potential, increased air volume, and lower run volume.
Will Dissly's 100.0% Adjusted Catch Rate this year illustrates a a meaningful improvement in his receiving talent over last year's 89.3% rate.
Will Dissly checks in as one of the most effective pass-catchers in football among TEs, averaging an outstanding 9.29 adjusted yards-per-target this year while ranking in the 79th percentile.
With an outstanding 5.70 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) (75th percentile) since the start of last season, Will Dissly ranks among the best TE receiving threats in the NFL in the open field.

Favors Under

This week's line indicates an extreme rushing game script for the Seahawks, who are a heavy favorite by 8.5 points.
Based on the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is anticipated by the projections to see just 127.1 offensive plays called: the 4th-lowest number among all games this week.
Will Dissly's 31.3% Route% this season indicates a a material decrease in his passing offense usage over last season's 43.2% figure.
Will Dissly has put up far fewer air yards this year (2.0 per game) than he did last year (13.0 per game).
This year, the strong Cardinals defense has conceded a feeble 36.0 adjusted receiving yards per game versus opposing TEs: the 10th-fewest in the NFL.

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