Will Dissly Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 7

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Will Dissly

NFL · Player Props

Will Dissly

TE · Seattle Seahawks

Receiving Yards

Los Angeles Chargers vs Seattle Seahawks · Week 7, 2022

Updated Oct 23, 2022 11:21 PM UTC

Analysis

Will Dissly Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-114/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 17.5 @ -112 before it was bet up to 17.5 @ -114.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Seahawks are a 4.5-point underdog this week, likely leading to a passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Seattle Seahawks to be the least pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 60.9% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 3rd-highest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 130.7 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The weather forecast calls for 0-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
Will Dissly has put up significantly more air yards this year (14.0 per game) than he did last year (7.0 per game).

Favors Under

The Seattle Seahawks have called the 4th-least plays in the league this year, totaling a lowly 53.3 plays per game.
Will Dissly's talent in grinding out extra yardage have diminished this year, notching a mere 5.20 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) vs a 7.62 figure last year.
The Los Angeles Chargers pass defense has given up the 10th-lowest Completion% in the NFL (68.3%) to tight ends this year (68.3%).
The Los Angeles Chargers linebackers project as the 10th-best collection of LBs in football this year in covering receivers.
The Seattle Seahawks have been faced with a stacked the box on a mere 11.5% of their plays since the start of last season, 4th-least in the league. Keeping an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.

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