Will Dissly Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 12

NFL · Player Props

Will Dissly

TE · Seattle Seahawks

Receiving Yards

Seattle Seahawks vs Las Vegas Raiders · Week 12, 2022

Updated Nov 28, 2022 12:11 AM UTC

Analysis

Will Dissly Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-115/-119).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 18.5 @ -119 before it was bet down to 16.5 @ -119.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Seattle Seahawks to be the 9th-most pass-oriented offense in the league (context-neutralized) at the moment with a 63.0% pass rate.
THE BLITZ projects the Seattle Seahawks offense to be the 10th-fastest paced team in football (context-neutralized) at the moment, averaging 27.52 seconds per play.
Will Dissly's 17.4 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume stat that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been significantly higher this year than it was last year at 11.6.
The Seattle Seahawks O-line profiles as the 7th-best in the NFL this year in protecting the passer, which has a positive impact on all air attack statistics across the board.
Will Dissly has notched quite a few more receiving yards per game (26.0) this year than he did last year (19.0).

Favors Under

The Seahawks are a 4-point favorite in this week's game, indicating a rushing game script.
Will Dissly's ability to grind out extra yardage has worsened this year, compiling just 5.77 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) compared to a 7.62 figure last year.
The Seattle Seahawks have faced a stacked the box on a measly 11.5% of their plays since the start of last season, 4th-least in the league. Positioning an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.
The Seattle Seahawks have risked going for it on 4th down a mere 8.7% of the time since the start of last season (least in football), which generally means less offensive volume, less touchdown potential, and lower offensive stats across the board.
The Seattle Seahawks have used motion in their offense on 28.2% of their play-calls since the start of last season (5th-least in football), which usually makes an offense more predictable and less effective.