Will Dissly Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 10

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Will Dissly

NFL · Player Props

Will Dissly

TE · Seattle Seahawks

Receiving Yards

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Seattle Seahawks · Week 10, 2022

Updated Nov 13, 2022 8:46 PM UTC

Analysis

Will Dissly Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 20.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 20.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 20.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the highest volume of plays run among all games this week at 137.9 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The weatherman calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
THE BLITZ projects Will Dissly to notch 3.7 targets in this week's game, on average, placing him in the 79th percentile among TEs.
Will Dissly's 18.1 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume metric that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been significantly better this season than it was last season at 11.6.
The Seattle Seahawks offensive line ranks as the 6th-best in the NFL this year in pass protection, which has a strong impact on all passing game statistics across the board.

Favors Under

The Seattle Seahawks have run the 4th-least plays in the NFL this year, averaging just 54.9 plays per game.
Will Dissly's ability to generate extra yardage has diminished this season, averaging just 5.50 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) vs a 7.62 figure last season.
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers defense has surrendered the 8th-least receiving yards per game in football (just 39.0) to tight ends this year.
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers pass defense has been quite strong when opposing TEs have gotten into space, giving up an average of 3.78 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 3rd-least in football.
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers linebackers project as the 9th-best group of LBs in the league this year in covering receivers.

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