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Will Dissly

Will Dissly Receiving TD
Player Prop Week 8

Seattle Seahawks vs New York Giants

Will Dissly Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+346/-668).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +364 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +346.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Will Dissly has been an integral part of his team's offense near the goal line, garnering a Red Zone Target Share of 11.1% this year, which ranks in the 76th percentile among tight ends.

Will Dissly has compiled significantly more air yards this season (15.0 per game) than he did last season (7.0 per game).

Will Dissly's 18.8 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume statistic that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been substantially better this season than it was last season at 11.6.

Will Dissly's receiving reliability have improved this year, with his Completion% rising from 80.8% to 95.0%.

Will Dissly grades out in the 94th percentile among TEs as it relates to catching TDs this year, averaging a terrific 0.43 per game.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Seahawks are a 3-point favorite in this week's contest, which points towards a rushing game script.

The Seattle Seahawks have called the 5th-least plays in the league this year, averaging a measly 53.4 plays per game.

Opposing QBs have averaged 34.0 pass attempts per game against the New York Giants defense this year: 9th-least in football.

The Seattle Seahawks have faced a stacked the box on a measly 11.5% of their plays since the start of last season, 4th-least in football. Positioning an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.

The New York Giants have stacked the box vs. opponents on just 11.4% of their plays since the start of last season, 5th-least in the NFL. Choosing not to position an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves pass defense at the expense of run-stopping.

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