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Wan'Dale Robinson

Wan'Dale Robinson Receptions
Player Prop Week 12

New York Giants vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Wan'Dale Robinson Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ -100 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Giants will be starting backup quarterback Tommy DeVito this week, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts.

The Giants are a 6-point underdog in this week's contest, likely creating a passing game script.

The 5th-highest number of plays in the NFL have been called by the Giants this year (a whopping 61.2 per game on average).

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers defense has been a well-known pass funnel this year, enticing opposing QBs to attempt the 2nd-most passes in the league (39.0 per game) this year.

The leading projections forecast Wan'Dale Robinson to notch 6.9 targets in this game, on balance, ranking him in the 79th percentile among wideouts.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Giants to pass on 53.6% of their plays: the 5th-lowest frequency on the slate this week.

The model projects this game to have the 2nd-fewest plays run on the slate this week at 126.8 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

Windy weather conditions (like the 14-mph being forecasted in this game) generally prompt lessened passing effectiveness, lower air attack volume, and higher run volume.

Wan'Dale Robinson's sure-handedness have declined this season, with his Adjusted Completion Rate decreasing from 78.7% to 72.1%.

As it relates to cornerbacks in defending pass-catchers, Tampa Bay's CB corps has been tremendous this year, projecting as the 2nd-best in the league.

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