Wan'Dale Robinson Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-115/-115).
Key Factors
Favors Over
The New York Giants may take to the air less in this contest (and call more rushes) because they be forced to start backup QB Tyrod Taylor.
An extreme throwing game script is indicated by the Giants being a a big -15.5-point underdog this week.
With an impressive 4.2 adjusted catches per game (79th percentile) since the start of last season, Wan'Dale Robinson rates among the top pass-catching WRs in the league.
Wan'Dale Robinson's possession skills have gotten better this year, with his Adjusted Completion Rate rising from 77.9% to 82.5%.
The Bills pass defense has given up the 3rd-highest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (73.9%) to WRs this year (73.9%).
Favors Under
Our trusted projections expect the New York Giants to be the 8th-least pass-centric team in the league (adjusted for context) right now with a 58.1% pass rate.
Opposing offenses teams have been reluctant to lean on the pass against the Bills, averaging the 3rd-fewest attempts in football (a lowly 29.6 per game) this year.
Wan'Dale Robinson's 50.0% Route% this year indicates a a material reduction in his pass attack volume over last year's 62.5% rate.
As it relates to pocket protection (and the influence it has on all air attack stats), the O-line of the New York Giants profiles as the worst in football this year.
As it relates to cornerbacks in pass coverage, Buffalo's group of CBs has been excellent this year, projecting as the 8th-best in football.