Wan'Dale Robinson Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 5

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Wan'Dale Robinson

NFL · Player Props

Wan'Dale Robinson

WR · New York Giants

Receptions

Miami Dolphins vs New York Giants · Week 5, 2023

Updated Oct 8, 2023 7:26 PM EST

Analysis

Wan'Dale Robinson Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-108/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ -133 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -108.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Giants are a huge 13-point underdog this week, likely creating an extreme passing game script.
The predictive model expects the Giants to be the 6th-most pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 62.0% pass rate, based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
The leading projections forecast the New York Giants offense as the 9th-fastest paced team in football (in a neutral context) right now, averaging 27.57 seconds per snap.
Our trusted projections expect Wan'Dale Robinson to notch 6.2 targets this week, on average, placing him in the 75th percentile among WRs.
Wan'Dale Robinson has been heavily involved in his team's passing attack, posting a Target Share of 18.9% since the start of last season, which ranks him in the 85th percentile when it comes to wide receivers.

Favors Under

The New York Giants offensive line ranks as the 2nd-worst in the league this year in protecting the QB, which has a harmful effect on all passing game statistics across the board.
As it relates to safeties in covering receivers, Miami's collection of safeties has been phenomenal this year, projecting as the best in the league.

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