Wan'Dale Robinson Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 4

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Wan'Dale Robinson

NFL · Player Props

Wan'Dale Robinson

WR · New York Giants

Receptions

New York Giants vs Seattle Seahawks · Week 4, 2023

Updated Oct 3, 2023 12:01 AM UTC

Analysis

Wan'Dale Robinson Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-190/+160).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -185 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -190.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Still weather conditions (like the 2-mph wind being called for in this game) typically prompt better passing effectiveness, higher touchdown potential, higher pass volume, and reduced ground volume.
Wan'Dale Robinson has been among the best possession receivers in the NFL, catching an impressive 77.9% of passes thrown his way since the start of last season, checking in at the 87th percentile among wideouts.
The Seahawks safeties profile as the worst safety corps in the NFL since the start of last season in covering pass-catchers.

Favors Under

Accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the New York Giants to pass on 56.3% of their plays: the lowest frequency on the slate this week.
The projections expect this game to have the lowest volume of plays run among all games this week at 127.6 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The projections expect Wan'Dale Robinson to be a much smaller piece of his team's passing offense in this week's contest (12.5% projected Target Share) than he has been since the start of last season (18.7% in games he has played).
The Giants offensive line ranks as the worst in football since the start of last season in pass protection, which has a harmful effect on all passing attack metrics across the board.

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