Wan'Dale Robinson Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 15

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Wan'Dale Robinson

NFL · Player Props

Wan'Dale Robinson

WR · New York Giants

Receptions

New Orleans Saints vs New York Giants · Week 15, 2023

Updated Dec 17, 2023 8:26 PM UTC

Analysis

Wan'Dale Robinson Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-103/-127).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ +104 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ -103.

Key Factors

Favors Over

At a -6.5-point disadvantage, the Giants are underdogs in this week's contest, implying more of a focus on passing than their normal game plan.
Given their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Giants are expected by our trusted projection set to call 66.7 total plays in this contest: the 4th-highest number on the slate this week.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.
The leading projections forecast Wan'Dale Robinson to accumulate 6.5 targets in this contest, on average, placing him in the 76th percentile when it comes to WRs.
Wan'Dale Robinson's sure-handedness have gotten better this season, with his Adjusted Completion Rate jumping from 77.9% to 81.8%.

Favors Under

With a 58.6% rate of throwing the ball (context-neutralized) this year, the 7th-least pass-centric offense in football has been the New York Giants.
Opposing teams teams have been unwilling to test the pass defense of the Saints, averaging the 9th-fewest attempts in the league (a lowly 34.4 per game) this year.
As it relates to protecting the passer (and the effect it has on all passing attack metrics), the O-line of the New York Giants profiles as the worst in the league this year.
This year, the tough Saints defense has yielded a puny 58.6% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing WRs: the 4th-lowest rate in the league.
As it relates to cornerbacks in defending pass-catchers, New Orleans's CB corps has been outstanding this year, profiling as the 6th-best in football.

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