Wan'Dale Robinson Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 12

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NFL · Player Props

Wan'Dale Robinson

WR · New York Giants

Receiving Yards

New York Giants vs New England Patriots · Week 12, 2023

Updated Nov 26, 2023 8:31 PM UTC

Analysis

Wan'Dale Robinson Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 30.5 (-120/-110).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Giants are a 4.5-point underdog in this game, likely creating a passing game script.
Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this contest is projected by the projection model to have 131.6 total plays run: the 5th-highest number out of all the games this week.
The Patriots defense has been something of pass funnel this year, enticing opposing offenses to attempt the 10th-most passes in football (37.9 per game) this year.
Wan'Dale Robinson's 81.8% Adjusted Completion% this year indicates an impressive improvement in his receiving skills over last year's 77.9% mark.
When it comes to cornerbacks in covering receivers, New England's unit has been very bad this year, grading out as the 6th-worst in the NFL.

Favors Under

The predictive model expects the New York Giants as the 7th-least pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 53.8% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
Wan'Dale Robinson has totaled quite a few less air yards this year (17.0 per game) than he did last year (30.0 per game).
With a RATE1-RATE2 point drop-off in WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that examines high-value offensive volume) from last season to this one, Wan'Dale Robinson has been incorporated much less in his offense's pass attack.
When it comes to pass-blocking (and the influence it has on all pass game stats), the offensive line of the New York Giants grades out as the worst in the NFL this year.
Wan'Dale Robinson has totaled many fewer adjusted receiving yards per game (29.0) this year than he did last year (39.0).