Wan'Dale Robinson Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 10

reorder

NFL · Player Props

Wan'Dale Robinson

WR · New York Giants

Receiving Yards

New York Giants vs Houston Texans · Week 10, 2022

Updated Nov 13, 2022 5:26 PM UTC

Analysis

Wan'Dale Robinson Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 36.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 37.5 @ -114 before it was bet down to 36.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the New York Giants as the 2nd-fastest paced defense in football (context-neutralized) right now, leading opposing offenses to average 27.20 seconds per play.
The Houston Texans pass defense has shown bad efficiency versus wide receivers this year, giving up 9.43 yards-per-target to the position: the 7th-most in the NFL.
The Houston Texans pass defense has been particularly weak when opposing wideouts have gotten into space, surrendering an average of 6.80 yards-after-the-catch this year: the most in football.
The Houston Texans safeties rank as the 2nd-worst unit in the league this year in pass coverage.
The New York Giants have used play action on 28.4% of their passing plays since the start of last season (10th-most in football), tricking the defense into thinking it's a run and leading to much higher passing efficiency.

Favors Under

The Giants are a 5.5-point favorite in this game, indicating a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the New York Giants as the 3rd-least pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 49.8% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
Opposing QBs have averaged 33.6 pass attempts per game against the Houston Texans defense this year: 8th-least in football.
The New York Giants O-line profiles as the 9th-worst in the NFL this year in protecting the QB, which has a negative impact on all passing attack metrics across the board.
The New York Giants offensive line has allowed their QB just 2.41 seconds before getting pressured (8th-worst in football since the start of last season), which has a harmful impact on all pass game metrics across the board.