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Van Jefferson

Van Jefferson Receptions
Player Prop Week 7

Pittsburgh Steelers vs New York Jets

Van Jefferson Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ +150 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The air attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the calm weather conditions (2-mph wind) being called for in this game, while run volume may drop.

Van Jefferson's 70.0% Route Participation% this year shows a significant boost in his pass attack utilization over last year's 58.4% figure.

Van Jefferson's ball-catching skills have gotten better this season, with his Adjusted Completion% jumping from 46.7% to 66.7%.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The leading projections forecast the Pittsburgh Steelers as the 4th-least pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 51.2% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

The projections expect this game to have the 5th-fewest plays run out of all the games this week at 126.3 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 30.7 pass attempts per game against the New York Jets defense this year: 9th-fewest in the league.

This year, the imposing New York Jets defense has conceded a measly 58.3% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing wideouts: the 4th-best rate in football.

The New York Jets linebackers profile as the best unit in football this year in defending pass-catchers.

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