My Account Log Out

reorder

Van Jefferson

Van Jefferson Receptions
Player Prop Week 15

Philadelphia Eagles vs Pittsburgh Steelers

Van Jefferson Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-170/+140).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -180 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ +140.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

This week's line suggests a throwing game script for the Steelers, who are -5.5-point underdogs.

At the moment, the 9th-fastest paced offense in the NFL (in a neutral context) according to the model is the Pittsburgh Steelers.

The forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means higher pass volume, and reduced run volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.

Van Jefferson's 61.3% Adjusted Catch Rate this season conveys a substantial growth in his pass-catching ability over last season's 46.7% figure.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Pittsburgh Steelers to pass on 54.6% of their opportunities: the 8th-lowest rate among all teams this week.

Van Jefferson has been a much bigger part of his team's offense this season, staying on the field for 64.0% of snaps compared to just 52.0% last season.

With a paltry 1.7 adjusted catches per game (24th percentile) this year, Van Jefferson ranks among the weakest wide receivers in the game in the league.

This year, the tough Eagles defense has given up a paltry 60.0% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing wideouts: the 3rd-lowest rate in the league.

When it comes to cornerbacks in covering receivers, Philadelphia's CB corps has been tremendous this year, grading out as the best in the league.

More Van Jefferson Player Props

© 2022 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™