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Van Jefferson

Van Jefferson Receptions
Player Prop Week 14

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Cleveland Browns

Van Jefferson Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+112/-146).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -140 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -146.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The predictive model expects this game to have the most plays run out of all the games this week at 139.0 plays, based on the approaches of each team and game dynamics.

The Pittsburgh Steelers have called the 2nd-most plays in the league this year, totaling a monstrous 61.4 plays per game.

Van Jefferson's possession skills have gotten a boost this year, with his Adjusted Catch Rate jumping from 46.7% to 59.4%.

The Cleveland Browns cornerbacks project as the 10th-worst unit in the league this year in defending receivers.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Steelers are a 6-point favorite this week, likely leading to a running game script.

Our trusted projections expect the Steelers to be the 2nd-least pass-focused team on the slate this week with a 50.4% pass rate, based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.

Windy weather conditions (like the 12-mph being projected in this game) usually cause lessened passing efficiency, reduced air volume, and increased rush volume.

Opposing teams teams have been hesitant to lean on the pass against the Cleveland Browns, totaling the 7th-fewest attempts in the league (a measly 31.6 per game) this year.

Van Jefferson's 63.2% snap rate this season reflects a meaningful growth in his offensive usage over last season's 52.0% figure.

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