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Van Jefferson

Van Jefferson Receptions
Player Prop Week 13

Los Angeles Rams vs Seattle Seahawks

Van Jefferson Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+118/-150).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Los Angeles Rams will be rolling with backup quarterback John Wolford in this game, which generally means fewer pass attempts and more rushing.

The Rams are a big 7-point underdog in this game, likely creating an extreme passing game script.

The Rams rank as the 9th-most pass-heavy offense in the league (adjusted for context) this year with a 62.3% pass rate.

The weather forecast calls for 3-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.

THE BLITZ projects Van Jefferson to earn 7.4 targets in this game, on average, putting him in the 80th percentile among WRs.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

THE BLITZ projects the Los Angeles Rams to be the 4th-worst paced defense in the NFL (adjusted for context) at the moment, with opposing offenses averaging 29.01 seconds per snap.

Opposing offenses have averaged 33.5 pass attempts per game versus the Seattle Seahawks defense this year: 8th-least in the league.

The Los Angeles Rams O-line profiles as the worst in the NFL this year in protecting the QB, which has a harmful impact on all passing offense statistics across the board.

Van Jefferson's sure-handedness have declined this season, with his Completion% falling off from 54.9% to 48.3%.

The Seattle Seahawks safeties rank as the 6th-best group of safeties in football this year in covering receivers.

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