My Account Log Out

reorder

Van Jefferson

Van Jefferson Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 17

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Kansas City Chiefs

Van Jefferson Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-110/-118).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 14.5 @ -113 before it was bet up to 15.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is projected by the model to see 134.2 offensive plays called: the 2nd-highest number among all games this week.

The 10th-most plays in football have been called by the Pittsburgh Steelers this year (a massive 59.1 per game on average).

The passing offenses of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the still weather conditions (1-mph wind) being forecasted in this game, while rush volume may slide.

Van Jefferson's 61.3% Adjusted Completion% this year shows a significant boost in his receiving ability over last year's 46.7% rate.

Van Jefferson's 7.6 adjusted yards per target this year signifies a significant gain in his receiving skills over last year's 4.9 rate.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The predictive model expects the Pittsburgh Steelers as the 10th-least pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 55.2% pass rate, based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.

Van Jefferson's 64.9% snap rate this season reflects a substantial boost in his offensive workload over last season's 52.0% rate.

After averaging 43.0 air yards per game last season, Van Jefferson has fallen off this season, currently boasting 28.0 per game.

The Kansas City Chiefs pass defense has displayed good efficiency against wide receivers this year, conceding 7.80 adjusted yards-per-target to the position: the 10th-fewest in football.

The Kansas City Chiefs linebackers profile as the 4th-best group of LBs in football this year in pass coverage.

More Van Jefferson Player Props

© 2022 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™