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Van Jefferson

Van Jefferson Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 11

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Baltimore Ravens

Van Jefferson Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 13.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 12.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

At a -3-point disadvantage, the Steelers are underdogs this week, indicating more of an emphasis on throwing than their usual game plan.

With regard to a defense's impact on pace, at 27.61 seconds per snap, the predictive model expects the Pittsburgh Steelers to be the 5th-fastest in the NFL (in a neutral context) at the present time.

Opposing offenses have averaged 41.6 pass attempts per game against the Baltimore Ravens defense this year: most in the NFL.

Van Jefferson's 71.7% Route% this year shows a material improvement in his pass game utilization over last year's 58.4% mark.

Van Jefferson's 63.4% Adjusted Catch% this year conveys a meaningful growth in his pass-catching proficiency over last year's 46.7% figure.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Our trusted projections expect the Pittsburgh Steelers as the 3rd-least pass-focused team among all teams this week with a 52.1% pass rate, accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.

After averaging 43.0 air yards per game last season, Van Jefferson has regressed heavily this season, now pacing 29.0 per game.

The Steelers offensive line ranks as the 10th-worst in the league this year in pass protection, which has a harmful effect on all pass game statistics across the board.

When it comes to safeties pass-rushing, Baltimore's safety corps has been fantastic this year, ranking as the 3rd-best in the league.

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