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Van Jefferson

Van Jefferson Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 10

Washington Commanders vs Pittsburgh Steelers

Van Jefferson Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-120/-109).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 15.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 15.5 @ -120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Based on their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Pittsburgh Steelers are projected by our trusted projection set to call 65.5 offensive plays in this game: the 6th-highest number on the slate this week.

The Steelers have called the 9th-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a massive 59.6 plays per game.

Van Jefferson's 71.5% Route Participation Rate this season marks a noteworthy boost in his air attack workload over last season's 58.4% figure.

Van Jefferson's 26.0 adjusted yards per game on passes this season indicates a remarkable progression in his receiving prowess over last season's 15.0 mark.

Van Jefferson's sure-handedness have been refined this season, with his Adjusted Catch Rate jumping from 46.7% to 70.1%.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Pittsburgh Steelers to pass on 50.8% of their opportunities: the lowest frequency among all teams this week.

Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 28.7 pass attempts per game against the Washington Commanders defense this year: 2nd-fewest in the NFL.

Van Jefferson has accrued quite a few less air yards this season (26.0 per game) than he did last season (43.0 per game).

As it relates to protecting the quarterback (and the effect it has on all pass attack metrics), the offensive line of the Pittsburgh Steelers profiles as the 10th-worst in the NFL this year.

The Washington Commanders pass defense has been quite strong when opposing WRs have gotten into space, yielding an average of 3.16 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 3rd-fewest in the league.

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