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Van Jefferson

Van Jefferson Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 14

Los Angeles Rams vs Las Vegas Raiders

 
 
 
Van Jefferson Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 36.5 (-108/-127).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 37.5 @ -119 before it was bet down to 36.5 @ -127.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Los Angeles Rams will be rolling with backup QB John Wolford in this contest, which generally means fewer pass attempts and more rushing.
  • The Rams are a 6.5-point underdog in this game, indicating a passing game script.
  • The Rams have been the 9th-most pass-centric offense in football (context-neutralized) this year with a 61.9% pass rate.
  • The weatherman calls for 0-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
  • Opposing teams have averaged 36.8 pass attempts per game vs. the Las Vegas Raiders defense this year: 8th-most in the NFL.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 2nd-least plays run among all games this week at 125.5 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Los Angeles Rams have called the 10th-least plays in the NFL this year, totaling a measly 55.9 plays per game.
  • Van Jefferson has accrued significantly fewer air yards this season (61.0 per game) than he did last season (74.0 per game).
  • The Los Angeles Rams O-line grades out as the 3rd-worst in the league this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a harmful impact on all pass attack statistics across the board.
  • Van Jefferson's possession skills have worsened this season, with his Completion% shrinking from 54.9% to 47.5%.

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