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Van Jefferson
NFL · Player Props
Van Jefferson
WR · Los Angeles Rams
Receiving TD
Kansas City Chiefs vs Los Angeles Rams · Week 12, 2022 Updated Nov 28, 2022 12:11 AM UTC
NFL Props Van Jefferson Receiving TD

Van Jefferson Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+429/-964).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +429 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +429.

Favors Over
  • The Rams are a giant 16.5-point underdog this week, likely leading to an extreme passing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 4th-highest volume of plays run among all games this week at 132.7 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • Opposing teams have averaged 37.1 pass attempts per game versus the Kansas City Chiefs defense this year: 2nd-most in the NFL.
  • THE BLITZ projects Van Jefferson to be a more integral piece of his team's passing offense near the end zone this week (19.5% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (7.7% in games he has played).
  • Van Jefferson grades out in the 79th percentile among wideouts as it relates to catching touchdowns since the start of last season, averaging an impressive 0.29 per game.
Favors Under
  • Van Jefferson has accrued far fewer air yards this season (57.0 per game) than he did last season (71.0 per game).
  • The Los Angeles Rams O-line profiles as the worst in football this year in protecting the passer, which has a negative effect on all passing game stats across the board.
  • Van Jefferson's ball-catching skills have declined this year, with his Completion% decreasing from 55.1% to 43.3%.
  • The Kansas City Chiefs linebackers rank as the 6th-best unit in the NFL this year in covering receivers.
  • The Kansas City Chiefs defensive front has gotten pressure on opposing QBs a measly 2.31 seconds after the snap (on average), ranking as the fastest in the league since the start of last season.
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