Tyson Bagent Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 7

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Tyson Bagent

NFL · Player Props

Tyson Bagent

QB · Chicago Bears

Rushing Yards

Chicago Bears vs Las Vegas Raiders · Week 7, 2023

Updated Oct 22, 2023 11:16 PM UTC

Analysis

Tyson Bagent Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 9.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 13.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Chicago Bears to run on 48.9% of their downs: the 3rd-greatest frequency on the slate this week.
The Chicago O-line ranks as the 9th-best in the league last year at blocking for the run game.
This year, the imposing Raiders run defense has allowed a puny 4.83 adjusted yards-per-carry to the opposition's rushing attack: the 25th-best rate in football.

Favors Under

The Bears may throw the ball less in this week's contest (and call more rushes) because they be rolling out backup QB Tyson Bagent.
Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is predicted by the projections to have just 120.4 total plays run: the lowest number among all games this week.
The Las Vegas defensive ends project as the 3rd-best group of DEs in football this year in regard to stopping the run.

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