Tyson Bagent Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 10

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Tyson Bagent

NFL · Player Props

Tyson Bagent

QB · Chicago Bears

Rushing Yards

Chicago Bears vs Carolina Panthers · Week 10, 2023

Updated Nov 10, 2023 1:06 AM EST

Analysis

Tyson Bagent Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 22.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 22.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 22.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Bears are a 3-point favorite in this week's game, indicating a rushing game script.
The model projects the Chicago Bears to be the most run-centric team on the slate this week with a 52.7% run rate, accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
The Bears O-line profiles as the 9th-best in the NFL last year at blocking for the run game.
This year, the feeble Carolina Panthers run defense has surrendered a whopping 147.0 adjusted rushing yards per game to opposing offenses: the 2nd-most in football.
When it comes to the safeties' role in run defense, Carolina's safety corps has been lousy this year, profiling as the 4th-worst in the NFL. in the NFL.

Favors Under

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is forecasted by the projection model to see only 125.5 total plays called: the 3rd-lowest number on the slate this week.

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