Tyson Bagent Pass Attempts - Player Prop Bet Week 9

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Tyson Bagent

NFL · Player Props

Tyson Bagent

QB · Chicago Bears

Pass Attempts

New Orleans Saints vs Chicago Bears · Week 9, 2023

Updated Nov 6, 2023 3:21 AM UTC

Analysis

Tyson Bagent Pass Attempts Prop is currently Over/Under 29.5 (-112/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 29.5 @ -109 before it was bet up to 29.5 @ -112.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Bears are a heavy 9.5-point underdog this week, which points towards an extreme passing game script.
The passing games of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (meaning zero wind) inside this dome, while run volume may fall-off.

Favors Under

The projections expect the Bears as the 9th-least pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 56.0% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
Accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Bears are expected by the projections to call only 63.9 plays on offense in this game: the 9th-lowest number among all teams this week.

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