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Tyson Bagent
NFL · Player Props
Tyson Bagent
QB · Chicago Bears
Completions
New Orleans Saints vs Chicago Bears · Week 9, 2023 Updated Nov 5, 2023 9:06 PM UTC
NFL Props Tyson Bagent Completions

Tyson Bagent Completions Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 18.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 18.5 @ -125.

Favors Over
  • The Bears are a heavy 9.5-point underdog this week, which points towards an extreme passing game script.
  • The passing games of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (meaning zero wind) inside this dome, while run volume may fall-off.
Favors Under
  • The projections expect the Bears as the 9th-least pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 56.0% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • Accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Bears are expected by the projections to call only 63.9 plays on offense in this game: the 9th-lowest number among all teams this week.
  • When it comes to protecting the quarterback (and the significance it has on all air attack stats), the O-line of the Chicago Bears profiles as the 10th-worst in the NFL this year.
  • This year, the strong Saints defense has given up a paltry 62.5% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing teams: the 2nd-lowest rate in the league.
  • The Saints linebackers grade out as the 7th-best collection of LBs in football this year in pass coverage.
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