Tyson Bagent Completions - Player Prop Bet Week 8

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Tyson Bagent

NFL · Player Props

Tyson Bagent

QB · Chicago Bears

Completions

Los Angeles Chargers vs Chicago Bears · Week 8, 2023

Updated Oct 30, 2023 12:26 AM UTC

Analysis

Tyson Bagent Completions Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (-156/+120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 18.5 @ -118 before it was bet up to 18.5 @ -156.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Chicago Bears may take to the air less in this contest (and call more carries) as a result of being be rolling with backup quarterback Tyson Bagent.
The Bears are a heavy 8.5-point underdog in this game, which points towards an extreme passing game script.
Opposing teams have averaged 39.8 pass attempts per game versus the Chargers defense this year: 5th-most in football.
As it relates to cornerbacks in defending receivers, Los Angeles's CB corps has been lousy this year, profiling as the 8th-worst in the NFL.

Favors Under

The projections expect the Chicago Bears to be the 8th-least pass-heavy team on the slate this week with a 54.0% pass rate, given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
At the moment, the 5th-slowest paced offense in the league (context-neutralized) according to the projection model is the Bears.

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