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Tyrod Taylor

Tyrod Taylor TD Passes
Player Prop Week 7

New York Giants vs Washington Commanders

 
 
 
Tyrod Taylor TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-200/+165).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ +200 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ +165.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Giants may take to the air less in this week's contest (and call more rushes) as a result of being be forced to start backup quarterback Tyrod Taylor.
  • At a -3-point disadvantage, the Giants are underdogs this week, suggesting more of a reliance on passing than their standard game plan.
  • The 9th-highest number of plays in football have been run by the Giants this year (a colossal 61.8 per game on average).
  • Opposing teams have averaged 37.5 pass attempts per game versus the Commanders defense this year: 9th-most in the NFL.
  • This year, the porous Washington Commanders defense has surrendered a colossal 2.00 TDs through the air per game to opposing QBs: the 3rd-worst rate in the NFL.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Giants to pass on 50.2% of their chances: the 2nd-lowest rate among all teams this week.
  • Right now, the 6th-least pass-centric offense in the NFL near the end zone (53.0% adjusted for context) according to our trusted projection set is the Giants.
  • The forecast calls for 17-mph wind in this game. High wind usually means lower pass volume (and higher run volume) and decreased passing efficiency.
  • This week, Tyrod Taylor is expected by the model to average the 3rd-fewest pass attempts out of all quarterbacks with 29.4.
  • In regards to pocket protection (and the significance it has on all passing attack statistics), the offensive line of the New York Giants profiles as the worst in the league this year.

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