Tyrod Taylor TD Passes - Player Prop Bet Week 6

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Tyrod Taylor

NFL · Player Props

Tyrod Taylor

QB · New York Giants

TD Passes

Buffalo Bills vs New York Giants · Week 6, 2023

Updated Oct 16, 2023 3:01 AM UTC

Analysis

Tyrod Taylor TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-160/+130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ +135 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ +130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The New York Giants may take to the air less in this contest (and call more rushes) because they be forced to start backup QB Tyrod Taylor.
An extreme throwing game script is indicated by the Giants being a a big -15.5-point underdog this week.
This year, the feeble Bills defense has allowed a whopping 76.0% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing quarterbacks: the 4th-highest rate in the NFL.

Favors Under

Our trusted projections expect the New York Giants to be the 8th-least pass-centric team in the league (adjusted for context) right now with a 58.1% pass rate.
Opposing offenses teams have been reluctant to lean on the pass against the Bills, averaging the 3rd-fewest attempts in football (a lowly 29.6 per game) this year.
As it relates to pocket protection (and the influence it has on all air attack stats), the O-line of the New York Giants profiles as the worst in football this year.
This year, the stout Buffalo Bills defense has conceded a mere 0.80 passing touchdowns per game to opposing offenses: the 3rd-smallest rate in the NFL.
As it relates to cornerbacks in pass coverage, Buffalo's group of CBs has been excellent this year, projecting as the 8th-best in football.

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