Tyrod Taylor Completions - Player Prop Bet Week 7

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Tyrod Taylor

NFL · Player Props

Tyrod Taylor

QB · New York Giants

Completions

New York Giants vs Washington Commanders · Week 7, 2023

Updated Oct 23, 2023 2:31 AM UTC

Analysis

Tyrod Taylor Completions Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (+105/-135).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 18.5 @ -130 before it was bet up to 19.5 @ +105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Giants may take to the air less in this week's contest (and call more rushes) as a result of being be forced to start backup quarterback Tyrod Taylor.
At a -3-point disadvantage, the Giants are underdogs this week, suggesting more of a reliance on passing than their standard game plan.
The 9th-highest number of plays in football have been run by the Giants this year (a colossal 61.8 per game on average).
Opposing teams have averaged 37.5 pass attempts per game versus the Commanders defense this year: 9th-most in the NFL.
The Washington Commanders linebackers profile as the 7th-worst group of LBs in football this year in defending pass-catchers.

Favors Under

Given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Giants to pass on 50.2% of their chances: the 2nd-lowest rate among all teams this week.
The forecast calls for 17-mph wind in this game. High wind usually means lower pass volume (and higher run volume) and decreased passing efficiency.
This week, Tyrod Taylor is expected by the model to average the 3rd-fewest pass attempts out of all quarterbacks with 29.4.
In regards to pocket protection (and the significance it has on all passing attack statistics), the offensive line of the New York Giants profiles as the worst in the league this year.

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