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Tyreek Hill

Tyreek Hill Receptions
Player Prop Week 17

Cleveland Browns vs Miami Dolphins

Tyreek Hill Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-129/+100).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ -136 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ +100.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Dolphins will be forced to utilize backup quarterback Tyler Huntley in this game, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rushes.

The predictive model expects the Dolphins to run the 3rd-most plays on offense on the slate this week with 68.3 plays, given their underlying traits and game dynamics.

The Miami Dolphins have called the 6th-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a whopping 60.1 plays per game.

In this week's game, Tyreek Hill is forecasted by the predictive model to land in the 75th percentile when it comes to wideouts with 6.9 targets.

As it relates to cornerbacks in pass coverage, Cleveland's CB corps has been atrocious this year, ranking as the 4th-worst in football.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This game's line implies a running game script for the Dolphins, who are favored by 3 points.

The projections expect the Dolphins to be the 2nd-least pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 48.1% pass rate, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.

The weatherman calls for 20-mph wind in this game. High wind usually means lower pass volume (and higher run volume) and lessened passing efficiency.

Opposing teams have averaged 32.4 pass attempts per game versus the Cleveland Browns defense this year: 6th-fewest in the league.

Tyreek Hill's 60.8 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that weighs high-value offensive involvement) has been notably lower this season than it was last season at 77.5.

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