My Account Log Out

reorder

Tyreek Hill

Tyreek Hill Receptions
Player Prop Week 16

Miami Dolphins vs San Francisco 49ers

Tyreek Hill Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-145/+115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 5.5 @ -140 before it was bet up to 5.5 @ -145.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Dolphins to pass on 62.3% of their downs: the 4th-greatest frequency among all teams this week.

The Dolphins have run the 6th-most plays in football this year, totaling a staggering 60.0 plays per game.

The leading projections forecast Tyreek Hill to accrue 8.5 targets in this week's contest, on balance, ranking him in the 87th percentile when it comes to wide receivers.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Based on the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is predicted by the projection model to have only 122.2 total plays run: the fewest among all games this week.

Opposing quarterbacks teams have been reluctant to test the pass defense of the 49ers, totaling the 4th-fewest attempts in the NFL (a lowly 30.7 per game) this year.

Tyreek Hill's 60.2 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that calculates high-value offensive volume) has been quite a bit worse this season than it was last season at 77.5.

Tyreek Hill's receiving performance has diminished this year, totaling a measly 4.7 adjusted catches vs 7.4 last year.

Tyreek Hill's 65.1% Adjusted Completion Rate this year marks a remarkable decline in his pass-catching skills over last year's 71.2% figure.

More Tyreek Hill Player Props

© 2022 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™