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Tyreek Hill

Tyreek Hill Receptions
Player Prop Week 14

Miami Dolphins vs New York Jets

Tyreek Hill Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-180/+135).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 5.5 @ -155 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ +135.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Dolphins have called the 7th-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a massive 60.1 plays per game.

The leading projections forecast Tyreek Hill to accumulate 7.2 targets in this week's contest, on balance, placing him in the 78th percentile among wideouts.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

A running game script is implied by the Dolphins being a 6.5-point favorite in this game.

The Dolphins rank as the 9th-least pass-centric team in football (in a neutral context) this year with a 57.9% pass rate.

Our trusted projections expect this game to have the 5th-fewest plays run among all games this week at 127.7 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

Opposing teams have averaged 31.1 pass attempts per game against the Jets defense this year: 5th-fewest in the league.

Tyreek Hill's 57.2 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that weighs high-value offensive involvement) has been notably worse this year than it was last year at 77.5.

More Tyreek Hill Player Props

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