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Tyreek Hill

Tyreek Hill Receptions
Player Prop Week 11

Miami Dolphins vs Las Vegas Raiders

Tyreek Hill Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-155/+125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 5.5 @ -160 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ +125.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The 6th-most plays in football have been run by the Miami Dolphins this year (a staggering 60.1 per game on average).

Our trusted projections expect Tyreek Hill to earn 7.2 targets in this week's game, on average, putting him in the 79th percentile among WRs.

The Las Vegas Raiders linebackers profile as the worst group of LBs in the NFL this year in pass coverage.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

An extreme rushing game script is implied by the Dolphins being an enormous 8-point favorite this week.

The leading projections forecast the Dolphins as the 6th-least pass-heavy team on the slate this week with a 53.8% pass rate, given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.

The model projects this game to see the 4th-fewest plays run on the slate this week at 126.4 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

Opposing offenses teams have been disinclined to pass too much against the Raiders, averaging the 8th-fewest attempts in the NFL (a lowly 31.6 per game) this year.

Tyreek Hill's 61.1 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that weighs high-value offensive usage) has been substantially lower this year than it was last year at 77.5.

More Tyreek Hill Player Props

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