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Tyreek Hill

Tyreek Hill Receptions
Player Prop Week 8

Miami Dolphins vs New England Patriots

 
 
 
Tyreek Hill Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-139/+108).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 6.5 @ -136 before it was bet up to 6.5 @ -139.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • At the present time, the 7th-most pass-oriented team in the NFL (63.7% adjusted for context) according to the projections is the Miami Dolphins.
  • The predictive model expects Tyreek Hill to accrue 11.5 targets in this week's game, on balance, putting him in the 99th percentile among wide receivers.
  • Tyreek Hill's 81.8 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that examines high-value offensive volume) ranks among the best in the league: 99th percentile for WRs.
  • With a terrific 7.5 adjusted receptions per game (97th percentile) this year, Tyreek Hill ranks as one of the leading WRs in the game in football.
  • Tyreek Hill's 73.9% Adjusted Completion% this year shows a substantial improvement in his pass-catching skills over last year's 70.8% rate.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Dolphins are an enormous 8.5-point favorite this week, likely leading to an extreme rushing game script.
  • At the moment, the 9th-slowest paced team in the NFL (adjusted for context) according to the projections is the Miami Dolphins.
  • The weather report calls for 13-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and lessened passing effectiveness.

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