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Tyreek Hill Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (+104/-132).
The money has been on the Over as it opened 6.5 @ +102 before it was bet up to 6.5 @ +104.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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The leading projections forecast the Miami Dolphins to be the 9th-most pass-centric offense in the NFL (in a neutral context) at the moment with a 63.4% pass rate.The leading projections forecast Tyreek Hill to notch 10.9 targets in this week's contest, on balance, placing him in the 100th percentile when it comes to wide receivers.Tyreek Hill has been a big part of his team's pass game, posting a Target Share of 31.0% this year, which puts him in the 98th percentile when it comes to wide receivers.With an excellent 7.4 adjusted receptions per game (99th percentile) this year, Tyreek Hill has been as one of the top wide receivers in the NFL in the NFL.Tyreek Hill's sure-handedness have improved this season, with his Adjusted Catch% jumping from 70.8% to 75.4%.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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At the moment, the 3rd-most sluggish paced offense in football (context-neutralized) according to the projections is the Dolphins.Windy weather conditions (like the 12-mph being predicted in this game) usually prompt lessened passing effectiveness, reduced air attack volume, and higher run volume.Opposing offenses have averaged 30.4 pass attempts per game versus the Dallas Cowboys defense this year: 2nd-fewest in the league.This year, the fierce Dallas Cowboys defense has surrendered a puny 58.1% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing wide receivers: the 4th-smallest rate in the league.When it comes to linebackers in defending pass-catchers, Dallas's unit has been excellent this year, projecting as the 3rd-best in the NFL.
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