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Tyreek Hill

Tyreek Hill Receptions
Player Prop Week 14

Miami Dolphins vs Tennessee Titans

 
 
 
Tyreek Hill Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-110/-118).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 7.5 @ +113 before it was bet up to 7.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • In this contest, Tyreek Hill is expected by the projections to rank in the 97th percentile among WRs with 10.6 targets.
  • With a top-tier 32.5% Target% (99th percentile) this year, Tyreek Hill places among the wideouts with the highest volume in football.
  • Tyreek Hill checks in as one of the best wide receivers in the game this year, averaging an outstanding 7.8 adjusted catches per game while checking in at the 99th percentile.
  • Tyreek Hill's receiving reliability have gotten a boost this season, with his Adjusted Completion% increasing from 70.8% to 75.6%.
  • The Tennessee Titans pass defense has conceded the highest Adjusted Completion% in football (72.6%) to WRs this year (72.6%).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Dolphins are a huge 13.5-point favorite in this game, which points towards an extreme rushing game script.
  • The model projects the Dolphins as the 3rd-least pass-focused team on the slate this week with a 55.6% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • Based on the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this contest is predicted by the projections to see just 127.4 total plays called: the lowest number among all games this week.
  • The Dolphins have run the 3rd-fewest plays in football this year, averaging just 54.8 plays per game.
  • Windy weather conditions (like the 13-mph being projected in this game) generally cause lessened passing effectiveness, reduced air attack volume, and higher rush volume.

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