Tyreek Hill Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 11

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Tyreek Hill

NFL · Player Props

Tyreek Hill

WR · Miami Dolphins

Receptions

Miami Dolphins vs Las Vegas Raiders · Week 11, 2023

Updated Nov 20, 2023 12:56 AM UTC

Analysis

Tyreek Hill Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-118/-118).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 6.5 @ +107 before it was bet up to 6.5 @ -118.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The projections expect the Dolphins to be the 6th-most pass-oriented team in the NFL (context-neutralized) at the present time with a 64.4% pass rate.
Our trusted projections expect Tyreek Hill to garner 10.9 targets in this contest, on average, placing him in the 98th percentile among WRs.
With an extraordinary 32.2% Target Share (99th percentile) this year, Tyreek Hill stands among the wideouts with the highest volume in the NFL.
Tyreek Hill profiles as one of the leading wide receivers in the NFL this year, averaging a fantastic 7.7 adjusted receptions per game while grading out in the 99th percentile.
Tyreek Hill rates as one of the most sure-handed receivers in the NFL, hauling in an excellent 73.5% of passes thrown his way (adjusted for context) this year, ranking in the 84th percentile among WRs.

Favors Under

An extreme running game script is indicated by the Dolphins being a massive 14-point favorite in this game.
The projections expect this game to see the 4th-lowest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 126.4 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The lowest number of plays in the league have been called by the Miami Dolphins this year (only 53.3 per game on average).

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