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Tyreek Hill

Tyreek Hill Receptions
Player Prop Week 8

Detroit Lions vs Miami Dolphins

 
 
 
Tyreek Hill Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (+110/-140).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Miami Dolphins to be the 9th-most pass-oriented offense in football (adjusted for context) at the present time with a 64.1% pass rate.
  • This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
  • THE BLITZ projects Tyreek Hill to garner 11.8 targets in this game, on average, putting him in the 99th percentile among wide receivers.
  • Tyreek Hill has been a more integral piece of his team's pass game this season (32.2% Target Share in games he has played) than he was last season (26.6%).
  • Tyreek Hill's pass-catching performance gotten a boost this year, averaging 8.1 yards per game compared to a mere 5.6 last year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Dolphins are a 4-point favorite in this week's game, likely leading to a rushing game script.
  • The Miami Dolphins O-line grades out as the 5th-worst in the NFL this year in protecting the passer, which has a harmful impact on all passing game stats across the board.
  • The Miami Dolphins O-line has given their quarterback a mere 2.49 seconds before the pass (4th-worst in the league since the start of last season), which has a harmful impact on all air attack stats across the board.
  • The Miami Dolphins have gone up against a stacked the box on a mere 12.1% of their plays since the start of last season, 5th-least in the NFL. Positioning an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.

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