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Tyreek Hill

Tyreek Hill Receptions
Player Prop Week 6

Miami Dolphins vs Minnesota Vikings

Tyreek Hill Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (+105/-135).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 5.5 @ +115 before it was bet up to 5.5 @ +105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Miami Dolphins will be rolling with backup quarterback Skylar Thompson in this week's game, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rushing.

The Dolphins are a 3.5-point underdog in this week's game, likely leading to a passing game script.

THE BLITZ projects Tyreek Hill to accumulate 9.6 targets in this contest, on average, putting him in the 93rd percentile among WRs.

Tyreek Hill has been heavily involved in his team's passing attack, earning a Target Share of 30.5% this year, which ranks in the 98th percentile among wide receivers.

Tyreek Hill's receiving talent has gotten better this season, notching 7.6 yards per game vs a mere 5.6 last season.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Miami Dolphins boast a new play-caller this season in head coach Mike McDaniel, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to tilt 3.9% more towards rushing than it did last season (adjusted for context).

THE BLITZ projects the Miami Dolphins offense to be the 4th-slowest paced team in the league (in a neutral context) at the present time, averaging 29.95 seconds per play.

Opposing offenses have averaged 34.0 pass attempts per game versus the Minnesota Vikings defense this year: 10th-least in football.

The Miami Dolphins offensive line ranks as the 2nd-worst in football this year in protecting the QB, which has a negative effect on all passing offense stats across the board.

The Miami Dolphins offensive line has afforded their quarterback a measly 2.49 seconds before the pass (4th-worst in the league since the start of last season), which has a harmful impact on all passing game stats across the board.

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