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Tyreek Hill

Tyreek Hill Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 9

Buffalo Bills vs Miami Dolphins

Tyreek Hill Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 78.5 (-114/-114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 76.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 78.5 @ -114.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

A throwing game script is implied by the Dolphins being a -6.5-point underdog in this week's contest.

The largest volume of plays in the league have been called by the Dolphins this year (a whopping 62.6 per game on average).

Opposing teams have averaged 36.0 pass attempts per game vs. the Buffalo Bills defense this year: 7th-most in the league.

The model projects Tyreek Hill to notch 8.5 targets this week, on balance, putting him in the 92nd percentile among WRs.

With a remarkable 5.20 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) (76th percentile) this year, Tyreek Hill has been among the leading WRs in the game in football in space.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The predictive model expects the Miami Dolphins to be the 8th-least pass-oriented offense in the league (adjusted for context) at the moment with a 59.0% pass rate.

Based on their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Dolphins are forecasted by the projections to call just 60.6 plays on offense in this game: the lowest number among all teams this week.

Tyreek Hill has notched far fewer air yards this year (93.0 per game) than he did last year (113.0 per game).

Tyreek Hill's 64.3 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that calculates high-value offensive volume) has been quite a bit lower this season than it was last season at 77.5.

Tyreek Hill has posted quite a few less adjusted receiving yards per game (45.0) this year than he did last year (109.0).

More Tyreek Hill Player Props

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