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Tyreek Hill

Tyreek Hill Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 8

Miami Dolphins vs Arizona Cardinals

Tyreek Hill Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 79.5 (-134/+104).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 82.5 @ -114 before it was bet down to 79.5 @ +104.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The largest volume of plays in the league have been called by the Dolphins this year (a massive 63.0 per game on average).

Our trusted projections expect Tyreek Hill to accumulate 8.8 targets in this contest, on balance, ranking him in the 94th percentile among wide receivers.

With a terrific 5.71 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) (79th percentile) this year, Tyreek Hill places as one of the leading wide receivers in the league in the league in picking up extra yardage.

The Arizona Cardinals pass defense has yielded the highest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (73%) to wide receivers this year (73.0%).

This year, the shaky Cardinals defense has yielded the 3rd-most adjusted yards-per-target in the NFL to opposing wideouts: a staggering 9.12 yards.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Dolphins are a 5-point favorite in this week's contest, indicating a rushing game script.

Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Dolphins to pass on 53.9% of their plays: the 9th-lowest clip on the slate this week.

Based on the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is anticipated by the model to see only 126.5 offensive plays run: the 3rd-fewest on the slate this week.

The weather report calls for 13-mph wind in this game. High wind usually means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and worse passing efficiency.

Opposing offenses teams have been disinclined to pass too much against the Arizona Cardinals, averaging the 10th-fewest attempts in football (a measly 30.7 per game) this year.

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