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Tyreek Hill

Tyreek Hill Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 15

Houston Texans vs Miami Dolphins

Tyreek Hill Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 74.5 (-142/+104).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 68.5 @ -117 before it was bet up to 74.5 @ -142.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The predictive model expects the Dolphins as the 3rd-most pass-focused offense among all teams this week with a 63.0% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

The Dolphins have called the 7th-most plays in football this year, averaging a colossal 60.2 plays per game.

The passing games of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (as in no wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may decline.

The model projects Tyreek Hill to notch 8.6 targets this week, on balance, ranking him in the 87th percentile among WRs.

This year, the weak Houston Texans defense has allowed the 4th-most yards-after-the-catch in the league to opposing wideouts: a massive 4.83 YAC.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Our trusted projections expect the Dolphins to run the 7th-fewest offensive plays on the slate this week with 63.7 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

After accruing 113.0 air yards per game last year, Tyreek Hill has seen a big downtick this year, currently averaging 85.0 per game.

Tyreek Hill's 59.9 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that assesses high-value offensive involvement) has been notably worse this season than it was last season at 77.5.

Tyreek Hill has compiled quite a few less adjusted receiving yards per game (59.0) this season than he did last season (109.0).

Tyreek Hill's ball-catching skills have worsened this year, with his Adjusted Catch% decreasing from 71.2% to 67.5%.

More Tyreek Hill Player Props

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